Thursday, March 26, 2009

Or maybe not

We were getting a little suspicious last night as, while we made our final preparations for the passage, the wind was still howling.

Low and behold the forecast was updated during the night to conditions unfavorable to crossing.  Can you say "Small craft advisory"?

This morning's forecast confirmed we're going nowhere today:

REST OF TODAY
SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE EXCEPT 5 TO 7 FEET IN THE GULFSTREAM. NORTH SWELL 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS CHOPPY IN EXPOSED AREAS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS.

It's looking possible for tomorrow:

TONIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. NEAR SHORE...SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. IN THE GULF STREAM...SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET. NORTHEAST SWELL 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS.

FRIDAY
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. NORTHEAST SWELL 2 FEET. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A MODERATE CHOP. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS.


Of course, there's always the possibility - the more pessimistic would say probability - that this will change.  There is a front coming through Sunday and that usually gives a small window just before it passes when the winds veer to the South and then to the west.  Then the front passes and the winds come from the north.  Right now they're predicting Monday for northerly winds.

So I think we're on "day-by-day" standby.  We must be ready each day to go the following day and check the forecast before we leave.  Not easy.  A lesson in patience for us both.



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